Early Re-projection of the Numbers?

UPDATE – All charts and assessments have now been updated in line with this post.

This is a job that is reserved for the summer break; reassessing whether the start of season projected team end positions are still valid.  Having just processed the data for the Monaco race I think it may be prudent to perform this task now for quite a few of the teams in order that the targets for the respective teams is meaningful going forwards.

In order to understand the dilemma this table should capture the mood music for the Team Value Analysis Charts to date (an admission at this stage is that I already had adjusted the Red Bull data projections from 2nd pushing 1st to 3rd pushing 2nd):

Mercedes – 1st with 2nd for context, will be changed to 2nd pushing 1st (yes, I am predicting that Mercedes will come 2nd!)

Red Bull – 3rd pushing 2nd (only above the 3rd line once this season), no further change as it was already implemented earlier in the season.

Ferrari – 3rd pushing 2nd (I really did doubt their abilities this season!), will be changed to 1st with 2nd for context (again, yes I am predicting that they will win, they have been above the 2nd line all season)

Force India – 4th pushing 3rd, no change (they have only been above the 4th line once this season however the long term trend seems to place them 4th)

Torro Rosso – 5th pushing 4th, no change (they have been above the 5th line all season)

Williams – 5th pushing 4th, change to Rest pushing 5th (Williams along with Ferrari are the big adjustments in this review.  How can this team which came 3rd not so long ago and currently has a strong car be in this position?  Casting?)

Haas – Rest pushing 5th, change to 5th pushing 4th (has been above the Rest line all season)

Renault – Rest pushing 5th, change to 5th pushing 4th (been above the Rest line 3 times so probably could have a fight with Haas for 6th in reality)

Sauber – Rest pushing 5th, no change (above the Rest line once so probably likely to beat MacLaren)

MacLaren – Rest pushing 5th, no change (yes it really is that bad for them)

The re-projections will be done as soon as possible and a short blog will be issued to let everyone know.

However, the end of season standings predictions are now (and those with * show where I think there is still some movement and fight to be had):

1 – Ferrari

2 – Mercedes

3 – Red Bull*

4 – Force India*

5 – Torro Rosso

6 – Haas

7 – Renault

8 – Williams

9 – Sauber

10 – MacLaren